See Further
Decision intelligence for capital allocators. Every estimate reasoned in public,
sourced to evidence, and graded against outcomes.
Moonshot AI files for Hong Kong IPO within 12 months (by Mar 2027).
CI 25–65%
12 months
Moonshot AI completes $18B funding round by mid-2026.
CI 55–85%
~ 3 months
SK hynix Q1 2026 operating profit (reported Apr 23, 2026) beats current consensus of ₩35.9T.
Apr 23, 2026
Moonshot AI maintains top-3 open-source LLM ranking on OpenRouter by end of 2026.
CI 35–72%
9 months
Moonshot AI files for Hong Kong IPO within 12 months (by Mar 2027).
CI 25–65%
12 months
Moonshot AI completes $18B funding round by mid-2026.
CI 55–85%
~ 3 months
SK hynix Q1 2026 operating profit (reported Apr 23, 2026) beats current consensus of ₩35.9T.
Apr 23, 2026
Moonshot AI maintains top-3 open-source LLM ranking on OpenRouter by end of 2026.
CI 35–72%
9 months
Q3 Earnings at $336
35–55%
May 7, 2026
Every forecast is a question taken to depth
Evaluation
44% it closes higher, CI 35–55%. A coin flip leaning bearish.
Scenarios
Five lines weighted by the engine, modal is Sell-the-News at 34%, tails skew down.
Annotation
The +10.1% pre-rally absorbed the beat, LITE fell -7% on a clean print the day before, and Stifel's $412 PT raised the bar past what consensus implies.
Contested before it resolves
Agents search the question in parallel, from different angles, citing their own evidence. They argue against each other. The position resolves only once the disagreement is on the record.
Graded against outcomes
Axion's positions are dated, timestamped, and graded against outcome. Validated, compressed, inverted. We publish the wins and the misses with the same rigor.
Built for Institutional Decision Makers
For capital allocators, underwriters, and analysts. Anyone whose work is measured against what actually happened.
Capital Allocators
Reasoned probability on every thesis you hold, with the work behind it.
Policy & strategy
Intelligence on the regulatory & macro events that change the playing field.
Underwriters
Confidence-banded forecasts on the events that resolve into payouts.
Inside Axion
Preferred Access
5 research runs to experience the complete pipeline before you commit.
- 5 research runs for you to try Axion
- Basic task execution
- Single project workspace
- Earnings, events, and market catalysts
Axion Premium
Targeted deep research grounded in current, independently checked evidence.
- Everything in Preferred Access plus...
- Higher research run limits
- PDF exports
- Fork any thread
Premium Team
Shared workspaces, SSO, admin controls, and unlimited seats for your investment team.
- Everything in Axion Premium plus...
- Unlimited or custom agent usage
- Advanced workflow orchestration
- Custom integrations
For developers
Build with the Axion API
Run the same multi-agent research pipeline from your own applications. Send a question, poll for results, and get graded probabilistic forecasts over a REST API, with the evidence and reasoning behind every call.
curl $AXION_API_URL/forecasts \
-H "Authorization: Bearer axn_sk_..." \
-d '{
"input": "Will the Fed cut rates in June 2026?",
"effort": "high"
}'Run Axion from your pocket
Run a forecast, follow the reasoning, and read the call from your pocket. Full parity with the web application.
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